Hiya
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what are the chances that the problem is the video card/CPU ?
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Pretty good I would say, its one of them annoying issues where you need 2 of everything to troubleshoot all your hardware. If it were me I would borrow someones graphics card and try that out quickly to rule it out - once you tried that you've pretty much looked at everything but processor so that would have to be the next thing to try. Something else - have you flashed the BIOS on your mobo recently ?